Political Sea Ebbs & Flows

From the Desert with feet planted firmly in the Cornfield
From the Desert with feet planted firmly in the Cornfield

The poll that political junkies have been waiting for has been released. That poll, from CNN/ORC, is the first since Wednesday night’s dual Republican presidential candidates’ debates.

The acknowledged winner of the main event, Carly Fiorina, is definitely flowing and has pulled into the #2 spot nationally among American GOP voters.

Both front runner Donald Trump and former #2, Dr. Ben Carson, are ebbing with Carson down to #3.

Many of the other candidates have become stagnant while some are crashing on the rocks.

The most notable crashing is the Governor of Wisconsin, Scott Walker. Walker was hailed early on as the 2016 Great Hope to take the White House back from Democrats by the Tea Party and other conservatives. Walker now is at the bottom, scraping the seabed.

Can he swim back to the surface or will the rip tide pull him under and out?

Marco Rubio has pulled ahead of his mentor, Jeb Bush, into fourth place. Bush, the initial front runner, is now down to fifth place.

Though Lindsey Graham was considered by many as winning the junior debate, he is polling less than 1/2 of 1% in the polls. His focus seems to be too narrow and more like an audition for Secretary of Defense instead of President.

The former Governor of New York, George Pataki, whom I think won the juniors, remains at less than 1/2 of 1%.

No one from the bottom tier broke out and into the majors following the debates.

Ted Cruz gained slightly, but still having trouble riding that surfboard into the sand line. But he is managing to keep standing as the wave begins to crest.

Rand Paul and Mike Huckabee have stagnated.

For Rick Santorum, Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal and Jim Gilmore stagnation leaves them as sediment in the sea bottom.

Ohio Governor John Kasich has not been able to build on his two appearances and has begun to sink as if fitted with cement shoes.

Chris Christie caught a minor, short-lived wave, but not enough to make it out of the sea or anywhere close to the shoreline.

Between now and October when the next debate is scheduled, anything can happen. As with God, one day is as a thousand years in politics.

From the Desert with my feet firmly planted in the Cornfield, Fiorina is becoming a powerhouse with a real chance at the nomination. No longer is she seen as a vice presidential possibility, but the top of the ticket.

Will Trump recover?

Can Carson’s laid back demeanor regain momentum?

Is this the beginning of the end for Bush?

Is Rubio on the ascendancy?

Who or how many will be dropping from the race before the next debate?

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Mark

Father, grandfather, political pundit - I am Mark Ivy. I am father to two wonderful sons, Dave and Kev, of whom I am very proud;two terrific daughters-in-law, Anna and Hailey; three beautiful granddaughters: Dylan, Alaina and Amelia. On September 2, 2014, I was diagnosed with disseminated histoplasmosis, a fungal infection, discovered by a biopsy of my larynx. The infection is fatal if left untreated. For 2 1/2 years I lived under a death sentence being misdiagnosed with a non-specific bacterial infection which left my right lung a "dried up sponge" and non-functioning. I was aggressively treated for the infection with antifungals. The treatment ended October of 2015 and fortunately did not take two years. I suffer from chronic Horton's Syndrome. The effects vary widely causing various problems. Statistically, Horton's affects only 0.1% of the population. Major depression also attacks me regularly.

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