Polls – Should We Care?

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Dateline The Desert: Quiz time –

2008: Who was way out in front of the pack for the Republican presidential field?

2008: Who held a commanding lead to be the Democratic presidential nominee?

2012: Who was the name on everyone’s lips and in the polls for Republican wannabe presidents?

Rudy Giuliani, America’s Mayor, was the hands on favorite in the polls by a wide margin back in 2008. Rudy never made it passed Iowa or New Hampshire.

Hillary Clinton, just like this year, was the Queen-in-Waiting on the Democratic slate. We all know how that played out when the freshman Senator from Illlinois stole the throne by June 2008.

Herman Cain, former CEO, had the whole country chanting, “9-9-9” for a short while as the “Non-Romney du jour”. That is until the debates and by the time Iowa and New Hampshire rolled around, Cain was steeped in scandal.

Currently many in the media are hyping how Clinton is falling in the polls and Bernie Sanders is lapping at her heels. Donald Trump has pushed Jeb Bush out of the way as well as all other candidates.

Scott Walker coming into the race has kept Marco Rubio at bay. Rubio is in his mentor’s shadow while Walker is taking a breather after being cleared to take-off from the runway by the Wisconsin Tower of Power (Supreme Court).

Ted Cruz and Rand Paul are crying for attention. Mike Huckabee is trying to get the choir singing as members are checking out other churches. Rick Santorum has gone to the cupboard, but the cupboard is bare. George Pataki has people asking, “He was governor of where?”

Dr. Ben Carson keeps looking into the waiting room to find no patients waiting for his surgical skills. Chris Christie is asking, “Is there a bridge I can close to keep Trump out?”

Carly Fiorina has learned that being a woman is not enough. For Lindsey Graham he has yet to find a television opportunity he won’t turn down, but people still don’t recognize him.

Border Schmorder, Rick Perry is holed up in the Alamo. Bobby Jindal has found out that he really is “Down in the Boondocks”.

Standing in the shadows and ready to toss his hat is John Kasich of Ohio. But with such a crowded field, does he stand a chance?

Do we go by the polls?

Or is it all just whoever can shout the loudest or hit enough high notes?

When the debates begin, will we see another Perry Minute?

Who will make it onto the stage in August?

Who will be left standing?

And what about the Democrats?

No date yet set for the first Democratic debate only that it will be this fall. Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina will each conduct one.

Hillary is by far the candidate to beat. Bernie is nipping at her heels in Iowa and New Hampshire.

But is Bernie this election round’s Ron Paul?

Martin O’Malley can’t get his name mentioned. But even if he does, there are those annoying questions about his tenure as mayor of Baltimore.

There’s that Lincoln no one is interested in driving…oh yeah, Chaffee. He was a Republican, then an independent, and now trying as a Democrat. Looking for someone to take a test drive, but no takers so far.

Jim Webb, probably the most competent candidate of any on either side, seems trapped and can’t break out like a fly caught in a spider’s web.

Do polls matter before that first appearance on a debate stage?

Do polls matter months from the first caucus, the first primary?

From the Cornfield, as I look through the recently planted seed corn with sprouts peeking through the ground and try not to get stuck by the cacti in the Desert, I would submit that it does not benefit anyone to make a decision yet nor to put too much stock in any poll.

Come August we will begin to see who among the GOP hopefuls has that “it” quality to be president. We will have to wait a bit though on the left side of the aisle.

 

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Mark

Father, grandfather, political pundit - I am Mark Ivy. I am father to two wonderful sons, Dave and Kev, of whom I am very proud;two terrific daughters-in-law, Anna and Hailey; three beautiful granddaughters: Dylan, Alaina and Amelia. On September 2, 2014, I was diagnosed with disseminated histoplasmosis, a fungal infection, discovered by a biopsy of my larynx. The infection is fatal if left untreated. For 2 1/2 years I lived under a death sentence being misdiagnosed with a non-specific bacterial infection which left my right lung a "dried up sponge" and non-functioning. I was aggressively treated for the infection with antifungals. The treatment ended October of 2015 and fortunately did not take two years. I suffer from chronic Horton's Syndrome. The effects vary widely causing various problems. Statistically, Horton's affects only 0.1% of the population. Major depression also attacks me regularly.

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